Now What…

See what Gerard has gotten me into this time.

Now I have a Tumblr page. ‘Cause I’m cool like that.

How Football Explains Everything

Jim Geraghty forecasts the coming November bloodbath for the Democrats.

Here are my 99 races, grouped into five levels of difficulty. I’ve used three different measurements – the Department of Homeland Security’s old color-code alert system, a comparable degree of difficulty to beating NFL teams, and a quick assessment.

Go read it, it’s ok, I’ll wait. It is quite entertaining. What a talented man.

Then, commenter Impatient quickly analyzed and provided the input necessary for a lovely piechart.

So, deepening the football analogy a little, we should expect the following actual results:
– The Rams won 6.3% of their games last year, so we should expect 12/13 Republicans in that category to win.
– The Redskins won 25% of their games, so we should expect 19/26 Repubs to advance in that category.
– The Panthers won 50% of their games, so we expect 16/33 in that category.
– Eagles won 69%, so we expect 6/21.
– And finally, the Colts won 88%, so we hope for 1/6.

Total: Republicans pick up 54 seats, assuming they don’t lose any, which I don’t know to be a safe assumption.

Tada! Now there’s a picture I like!

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